Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.3% vs Brouwer 53.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 81.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 78.3%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 53.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Kruger
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kruger
Brouwer
Last 5: Kruger 3-2 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Kruger
Brouwer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
0
Kruger
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Kruger
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (348)
57.6% (66)
-3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.2% (29)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (125)
57.9% (19)
-22.7%
On power play, Kruger has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Kruger is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Kruger shoots left. Brouwer is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Kruger
Brouwer
Home
52.4% (212)
54.4% (57)
Away
46.6% (262)
59.6% (57)
By Period
Kruger
Brouwer
P1
40.1%
40.9%
P2
53.6%
54.7%
P3
54.6%
70.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |