Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Seguin 42.6% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 64.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 95.5%
Neutral zone
Kruger 92.6%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Kruger
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kruger
Seguin
Last 9: Kruger 7-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
0
Kruger
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kruger
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
41.1% (649)
+16.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
54.2% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
25.0% (4)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kruger is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kruger shoots left. Seguin is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Kruger
Seguin
Home
58.6% (408)
44.4% (338)
Away
54.5% (365)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Kruger
Seguin
P1
54.3%
37.8%
P2
56.9%
45.5%
P3
58.3%
41.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |