Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.8%). Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 52.9% vs Seguin 53.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 75.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 75.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 52.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kruger
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Seguin
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kruger
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Kruger
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (509)
53.9% (482)
+0.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
35.3% (17)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (158)
75.0% (12)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kruger is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Kruger shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Kruger
Seguin
Home
53.4% (328)
58.9% (231)
Away
53.2% (342)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Kruger
Seguin
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
48.5%
P3
51.0%
61.7%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |