Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Kempe 41.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 67.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 73.3%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Henrique
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Kempe
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Henrique
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
3
Henrique
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
38.5% (312)
+14.4%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
33.3% (3)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
35.7% (14)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kempe
Home
55.3% (571)
38.8% (160)
Away
49.8% (512)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Henrique
Kempe
P1
53.3%
35.9%
P2
52.4%
39.0%
P3
52.4%
38.9%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |