Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Kempe 41.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 64.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Malkin
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Malkin
Kempe
Last 9: Malkin 7-2 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Kempe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
2
Malkin
Kempe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
38.5% (312)
+7.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
33.3% (3)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
35.7% (14)
-2.4%
On even strength, Malkin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Malkin shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kempe
Home
45.1% (450)
38.8% (160)
Away
46.4% (384)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Malkin
Kempe
P1
48.2%
35.9%
P2
43.5%
39.0%
P3
46.0%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |