Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.7% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 76.7%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Kempe
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Jankowski
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Kempe
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Kempe
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (380)
51.5% (3,462)
-12.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.7% (95)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
42.8% (528)
-11.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Kempe shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jankowski
Home
40.1% (177)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
36.9% (222)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Kempe
Jankowski
P1
34.7%
50.0%
P2
40.4%
51.2%
P3
38.8%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |