Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Jankowski 51.7% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 77.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 77.2%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Kempe
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Jankowski
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Kempe
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Kempe
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (312)
52.6% (701)
-14.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (12)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
45.8% (107)
-10.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Kempe shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jankowski
Home
38.8% (160)
56.6% (424)
Away
37.9% (169)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Kempe
Jankowski
P1
35.9%
49.3%
P2
39.0%
57.4%
P3
38.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |