Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.7% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 71.5%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 87.4%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 78.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Kempe
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kempe
Sheahan
Last 6: Kempe 4-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Kempe
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (380)
51.0% (4,968)
-12.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (322)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
44.3% (1,068)
-13.0%
On power play, Sheahan has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Kempe shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sheahan
Home
40.1% (177)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
36.9% (222)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Kempe
Sheahan
P1
34.7%
51.3%
P2
40.4%
51.2%
P3
38.8%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |