Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Sheahan 52.0% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 72.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 88.6%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 77.9%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Kempe
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kempe
Sheahan
Last 6: Kempe 4-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Kempe
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (312)
52.6% (544)
-14.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.0% (10)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
50.7% (134)
-15.0%
On power play, Sheahan has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Kempe shoots left. Sheahan is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sheahan
Home
38.8% (160)
51.9% (376)
Away
37.9% (169)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Kempe
Sheahan
P1
35.9%
57.6%
P2
39.0%
48.5%
P3
38.9%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |