Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Arcobello 53.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 56.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Horvat
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Horvat
Arcobello
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
7
Horvat
Arcobello
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
50.5% (196)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
70.0% (40)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
83.3% (6)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Arcobello is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Horvat
Arcobello
Home
53.1% (723)
57.1% (84)
Away
48.8% (770)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Horvat
Arcobello
P1
51.1%
59.7%
P2
52.6%
52.3%
P3
48.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |