Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Arcobello 50.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 73.4%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 69.9%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 69.9%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Horvat
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Horvat
Arcobello
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
11
Horvat
Arcobello
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Arcobello
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
4
Horvat
Arcobello
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
50.6% (1,408)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
60.8% (130)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
36.8% (57)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Horvat
Arcobello
Home
56.0% (8,355)
53.2% (745)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Horvat
Arcobello
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
51.3%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |