Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.4%). Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Arcobello wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 72.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 88.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 66.9%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Arcobello
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Arcobello
Hendricks
Last 6: Arcobello 4-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
4
0
Arcobello
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Arcobello
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Arcobello
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
59.6% (329)
-9.1%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
46.7% (15)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
44.0% (109)
+39.3%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Arcobello is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Arcobello shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Hendricks
Home
57.1% (84)
52.4% (233)
Away
53.2% (158)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Arcobello
Hendricks
P1
59.7%
55.1%
P2
52.3%
55.2%
P3
51.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |