Mark Arcobello vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs McCarron 52.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 83.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Arcobello
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Arcobello
McCarron
Last 6: Arcobello 3-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Arcobello
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
1
Arcobello
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
53.4% (2,901)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
45.3% (86)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
50.5% (463)
-13.7%
On power play, Arcobello has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Arcobello is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Arcobello shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Arcobello
McCarron
Home
53.2% (745)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.9% (850)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Arcobello
McCarron
P1
53.2%
53.9%
P2
51.3%
52.5%
P3
48.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |