Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Cousins 45.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cousins 54.3%
Neutral zone
Cousins 55.2%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Arcobello
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Arcobello
Cousins
Last 8: Arcobello 4-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
0
Arcobello
Cousins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Arcobello
Cousins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
2
3
Arcobello
Cousins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
44.9% (1,508)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
44.6% (101)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
42.9% (7)
-6.1%
On power play, Arcobello has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Cousins
Home
53.2% (745)
46.7% (809)
Away
48.9% (850)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Arcobello
Cousins
P1
53.2%
47.5%
P2
51.3%
43.6%
P3
48.4%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |