Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Arcobello wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs Cousins 47.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 64.7%
Defensive zone
Cousins 67.9%
Neutral zone
Cousins 51.8%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Arcobello
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Arcobello
Cousins
Last 8: Arcobello 4-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
0
Arcobello
Cousins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Arcobello
Cousins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
2
3
Arcobello
Cousins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
46.3% (227)
+4.2%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
40.0% (10)
+30.0%
On power play, Arcobello has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Arcobello is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Arcobello shoots right. Cousins is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Cousins
Home
57.1% (84)
54.2% (107)
Away
53.2% (158)
39.2% (130)
By Period
Arcobello
Cousins
P1
59.7%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
43.9%
P3
51.9%
43.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |