Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 61.4%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 66.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 60.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Arcobello
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Arcobello
Jokinen
Last 7: Arcobello 3-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Arcobello
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arcobello
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Arcobello
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
45.8% (3,924)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
50.8% (585)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
42.9% (247)
-6.1%
On power play, Arcobello has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Jokinen
Home
53.2% (745)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
48.9% (850)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Arcobello
Jokinen
P1
53.2%
45.6%
P2
51.3%
47.5%
P3
48.4%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |