Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 76.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 72.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Arcobello
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Arcobello
Stastny
Last 10: Arcobello 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Arcobello
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
4
3
Arcobello
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
1
Arcobello
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.0%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
59.1% (1,994)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
52.9% (1,119)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Stastny
Home
53.2% (745)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.9% (850)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Arcobello
Stastny
P1
53.2%
56.3%
P2
51.3%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |