Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.8% vs Stastny 53.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 67.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Arcobello
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Arcobello
Stastny
Last 5: Arcobello 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
0
Arcobello
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
1
Arcobello
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (344)
53.2% (995)
-0.6%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
57.6% (158)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
61.4% (57)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Arcobello shoots right. Stastny is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Stastny
Home
53.8% (173)
55.1% (586)
Away
48.9% (231)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Arcobello
Stastny
P1
51.6%
54.7%
P2
50.7%
53.1%
P3
51.1%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |