Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 87.5%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 52.7%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 65.0%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Arcobello
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Arcobello
Nash
Last 10: Arcobello 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Arcobello
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
5
1
Arcobello
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
0
Arcobello
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
51.0% (249)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
44.9% (550)
-8.1%
On power play, Arcobello has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Arcobello is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Arcobello shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Nash
Home
53.2% (745)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.9% (850)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Arcobello
Nash
P1
53.2%
49.0%
P2
51.3%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |