Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Arcobello wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs Johansen 52.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 56.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.3%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Arcobello
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Arcobello
Johansen
Last 6: Arcobello 3-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Arcobello
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
51.9% (1,006)
-1.4%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
56.0% (207)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
42.4% (33)
+40.9%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Arcobello is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Arcobello shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Johansen
Home
57.1% (84)
56.4% (633)
Away
53.2% (158)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Arcobello
Johansen
P1
59.7%
51.4%
P2
52.3%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |