Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 25-13 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 86.7%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 76.2%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 81.9%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Arcobello
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
25
(38 meetings)
13
25
Arcobello
Kesler
Last 10: Arcobello 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Arcobello
Kesler
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
9
Arcobello
Kesler
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
9
Arcobello
Kesler
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.8%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
60.7% (1,437)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
50.5% (1,908)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Arcobello is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Arcobello shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Kesler
Home
53.2% (745)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.9% (850)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Arcobello
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
51.3%
55.9%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |