Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.1% vs Matthias 46.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 62.9%
Defensive zone
Matthias 71.0%
Neutral zone
Matthias 51.7%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Arcobello
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Arcobello
Matthias
Last 10: Arcobello 4-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
3
Arcobello
Matthias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arcobello
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
4
3
Arcobello
Matthias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (858)
47.2% (142)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.1% (58)
100.0% (2)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
26.1% (23)
34.9% (43)
-8.8%
On power play, Matthias has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Arcobello shoots right. Matthias is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Matthias
Home
52.7% (478)
45.6% (57)
Away
47.5% (461)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Arcobello
Matthias
P1
52.4%
54.3%
P2
51.7%
40.0%
P3
46.4%
40.0%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 19, 2014 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |