Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.1% vs Gionta 42.3% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 74.8%
Defensive zone
Gionta 83.0%
Neutral zone
Gionta 58.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Arcobello
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Arcobello
Gionta
Last 9: Arcobello 4-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arcobello
Gionta
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Arcobello
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arcobello
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (858)
40.3% (303)
+9.7%
Power Play
62.1% (58)
66.7% (6)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
26.1% (23)
38.8% (85)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Arcobello is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Arcobello shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Gionta
Home
52.7% (478)
42.8% (166)
Away
47.5% (461)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Arcobello
Gionta
P1
52.4%
41.7%
P2
51.7%
42.3%
P3
46.4%
37.8%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |