Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 72.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 74.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 72.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Jenner
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jenner
Jankowski
Last 7: Jenner 6-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
54.1% (527)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.0% (14)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
57.5% (40)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Jenner
Jankowski
Home
51.0% (143)
53.9% (310)
Away
49.2% (124)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Jenner
Jankowski
P1
51.7%
54.6%
P2
40.5%
56.3%
P3
57.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |