Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 63.7%
Defensive zone
Minten 65.0%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.6%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Minten
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Minten
Jankowski
Last 9: Minten 3-6 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
51.3% (347)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
72.7% (11)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.0% (75)
-10.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Minten
Jankowski
Home
49.5% (101)
46.8% (188)
Away
40.3% (67)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Minten
Jankowski
P1
37.3%
51.6%
P2
44.1%
49.3%
P3
55.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |