Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Jankowski 47.5% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 95.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 76.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 83.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Hughes
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Hughes
Jankowski
Last 9: Hughes 1-8 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
5
Hughes
Jankowski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Hughes
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
49.0% (251)
-13.3%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.0% (65)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Hughes
Jankowski
Home
37.8% (333)
50.0% (172)
Away
32.4% (278)
43.0% (151)
By Period
Hughes
Jankowski
P1
38.8%
42.5%
P2
28.3%
49.1%
P3
38.6%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
31.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |