Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Jankowski 53.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 87.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 73.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Toews
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Jankowski
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
54.1% (527)
+8.4%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
50.0% (14)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
57.5% (40)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Toews
Jankowski
Home
60.9% (435)
53.9% (310)
Away
62.0% (434)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Toews
Jankowski
P1
59.8%
54.6%
P2
65.7%
56.3%
P3
58.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |