Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.0%). Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.8% vs Jankowski 51.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 74.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 68.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 58.8%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Brodziak
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brodziak
Jankowski
Last 5: Brodziak 4-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (631)
52.6% (701)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
66.7% (12)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (121)
45.8% (107)
+0.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Brodziak shoots right. Jankowski is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Jankowski
Home
53.9% (410)
56.6% (424)
Away
49.9% (357)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Brodziak
Jankowski
P1
53.2%
49.3%
P2
56.1%
57.4%
P3
46.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |