Mark Jankowski vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 78.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jankowski
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Jankowski
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
50.1% (891)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.1% (64)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
47.8% (278)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Backlund
Home
53.9% (310)
48.1% (580)
Away
54.6% (271)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Jankowski
Backlund
P1
54.6%
45.1%
P2
56.3%
54.7%
P3
51.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |