Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.7%). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Walker 51.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 59.5%
Defensive zone
Walker 55.0%
Neutral zone
Walker 50.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Jankowski
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Walker
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
0
1
Jankowski
Walker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
54.0% (87)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.0% (8)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Walker is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Walker
Home
53.9% (310)
51.9% (54)
Away
54.6% (271)
56.1% (41)
By Period
Jankowski
Walker
P1
54.6%
63.6%
P2
56.3%
46.7%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |