Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 88.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 90.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 86.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Jankowski
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Jankowski
Kapanen
Last 6: Jankowski 6-0 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
46.5% (527)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.8% (42)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
39.5% (38)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kapanen
Home
53.2% (331)
47.0% (315)
Away
54.2% (284)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Jankowski
Kapanen
P1
52.7%
41.6%
P2
55.8%
50.7%
P3
52.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |