Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.3% vs Colton 48.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 61.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 58.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 58.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Jankowski
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jankowski
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Jankowski
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (393)
44.7% (76)
+10.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
75.0% (4)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
62.1% (29)
0.0% (1)
+62.1%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +62.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jankowski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Jankowski shoots left. Colton is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Colton
Home
56.1% (239)
42.1% (38)
Away
54.4% (193)
48.8% (43)
By Period
Jankowski
Colton
P1
56.6%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
46.7%
P3
52.9%
39.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
55.3%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |