Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs Strome 45.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 72.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 71.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 74.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Jankowski
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jankowski
Strome
Last 8: Jankowski 2-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Jankowski
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Jankowski
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Jankowski
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
44.4% (568)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
52.5% (61)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
31.0% (42)
-2.9%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Jankowski shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Strome
Home
50.4% (399)
42.8% (367)
Away
47.2% (411)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Jankowski
Strome
P1
49.4%
41.1%
P2
48.7%
44.9%
P3
48.7%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |