Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 67.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 72.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Jankowski
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Couturier
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Jankowski
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Jankowski
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
53.4% (758)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.9% (70)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.7% (227)
+6.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Couturier
Home
53.9% (310)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.6% (271)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Jankowski
Couturier
P1
54.6%
55.2%
P2
56.3%
53.0%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |