Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Oshie 48.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 88.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 83.6%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.4%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Jankowski
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jankowski
Oshie
Last 9: Jankowski 3-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
5
Jankowski
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
43.3% (127)
+5.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
51.7% (151)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
50.0% (12)
-10.0%
On power play, Oshie has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Jankowski is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jankowski shoots left. Oshie is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Oshie
Home
50.0% (172)
42.1% (164)
Away
43.0% (151)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Jankowski
Oshie
P1
42.5%
44.7%
P2
49.1%
47.8%
P3
48.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |