Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Thompson 45.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 84.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 84.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 77.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Jankowski
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Thompson
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
44.9% (642)
+9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.9% (94)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
33.3% (33)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thompson
Home
53.9% (310)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.6% (271)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Jankowski
Thompson
P1
54.6%
48.1%
P2
56.3%
44.9%
P3
51.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |