Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 59.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 55.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 55.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Jankowski
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jankowski
Nosek
Last 9: Jankowski 3-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Jankowski
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Jankowski
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
54.9% (2,674)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
44.7% (47)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
47.4% (424)
-4.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Nosek
Home
51.9% (1,940)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Jankowski
Nosek
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
51.2%
54.0%
P3
50.2%
54.6%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |