Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 45.7% vs Nosek 50.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 57.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Jankowski
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jankowski
Nosek
Last 7: Jankowski 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Jankowski
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Jankowski
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (349)
51.2% (377)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (70)
41.3% (46)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Jankowski is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Jankowski shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Nosek
Home
47.0% (183)
48.3% (240)
Away
43.0% (242)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Jankowski
Nosek
P1
44.5%
48.4%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
47.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |