Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Zajac 51.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 82.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 56.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 72.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Jankowski
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Zajac
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Jankowski
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
1
Jankowski
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
53.5% (480)
-4.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
48.4% (62)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
37.7% (61)
+2.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Jankowski is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jankowski shoots left. Zajac is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zajac
Home
50.0% (172)
51.7% (352)
Away
43.0% (151)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Jankowski
Zajac
P1
42.5%
45.0%
P2
49.1%
61.5%
P3
48.5%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 01:26 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |