Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). White wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.7%
Neutral zone
White 66.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
White
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
White
Kastelic
Last 6: White 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
White
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
White
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (184)
58.0% (476)
-15.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
75.0% (8)
-20.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. White is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (56).
White shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
White
Kastelic
Home
52.3% (86)
64.9% (265)
Away
35.8% (109)
50.5% (325)
By Period
White
Kastelic
P1
45.6%
58.5%
P2
40.0%
55.6%
P3
43.1%
56.8%
Final 5 min
37.8%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
43.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |