Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.3% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 75.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 79.7%
20.3%
79.7%
Okposo
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Okposo
Kastelic
Last 5: Okposo 4-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
1
Okposo
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (218)
53.4% (337)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
100.0% (4)
-48.4%
Penalty Kill
19.2% (26)
75.0% (8)
-55.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Okposo is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Okposo shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Okposo
Kastelic
Home
48.8% (127)
56.2% (162)
Away
46.6% (148)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Okposo
Kastelic
P1
41.1%
58.2%
P2
44.2%
58.8%
P3
60.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |