Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Froese wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Letestu 53.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Froese leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 63.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 72.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 59.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Froese
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Froese
Letestu
Last 10: Froese 6-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
4
3
Froese
Letestu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
53.3% (625)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.6% (89)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
50.3% (173)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Froese is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Froese shoots right. Letestu is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Froese
Letestu
Home
47.8% (159)
55.8% (421)
Away
41.5% (193)
51.1% (466)
By Period
Froese
Letestu
P1
41.2%
52.0%
P2
42.9%
55.2%
P3
49.5%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |