Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Letestu 54.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 79.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Kelly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Kelly
Letestu
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
3
Kelly
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
5
Kelly
Letestu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
55.6% (613)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
53.4% (103)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
60.0% (10)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Kelly shoots left. Letestu is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Kelly
Letestu
Home
53.8% (442)
57.5% (393)
Away
48.1% (474)
53.1% (341)
By Period
Kelly
Letestu
P1
50.2%
53.3%
P2
47.6%
59.8%
P3
54.5%
53.0%
OT
85.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |