Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Letestu 51.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 87.3%
Defensive zone
Letestu 64.2%
Neutral zone
Letestu 82.4%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Kelly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Letestu
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
54.3% (540)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.1% (49)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
37.6% (141)
+7.3%
On power play, Letestu has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Kelly
Letestu
Home
51.4% (350)
53.6% (371)
Away
45.0% (229)
48.7% (359)
By Period
Kelly
Letestu
P1
46.9%
51.2%
P2
53.6%
53.4%
P3
46.8%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |