Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Letestu 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 52.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 62.0%
Neutral zone
Letestu 50.4%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Grant
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Grant
Letestu
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
4
Grant
Letestu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
50.9% (582)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
56.8% (125)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
45.0% (189)
+1.0%
On power play, Grant has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Home / Away
Grant
Letestu
Home
50.9% (161)
48.5% (423)
Away
53.4% (223)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Grant
Letestu
P1
53.4%
54.0%
P2
47.9%
50.5%
P3
56.0%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |