Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Letestu 50.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 54.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Toews
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Toews
Letestu
Last 8: Toews 6-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
Toews
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
50.9% (582)
+3.9%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
56.8% (125)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
45.0% (189)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Toews is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (564).
Toews shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Home / Away
Toews
Letestu
Home
58.7% (784)
48.5% (423)
Away
51.0% (768)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Toews
Letestu
P1
54.0%
54.0%
P2
57.4%
50.5%
P3
52.6%
46.9%
OT
64.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |