Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.9%). Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Thompson 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 24-24 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 61.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Letestu
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
24
(48 meetings)
24
24
Letestu
Thompson
Last 10: Letestu 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
8
9
Letestu
Thompson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
8
Letestu
Thompson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
10
7
Letestu
Thompson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
54.8% (135)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Letestu
Thompson
Home
54.0% (3,024)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Letestu
Thompson
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
55.0%
52.9%
P3
49.8%
52.8%
OT
51.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |