Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 54.8% vs Thompson 53.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 75.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Letestu
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Letestu
Thompson
Last 7: Letestu 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Letestu
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (613)
56.1% (478)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.4% (103)
57.1% (14)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
47.6% (164)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Letestu is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Letestu shoots right. Thompson is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Letestu
Thompson
Home
57.5% (393)
55.2% (315)
Away
53.1% (341)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Letestu
Thompson
P1
53.3%
57.5%
P2
59.8%
54.2%
P3
53.0%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |