Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 79.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.1%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Letestu
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Letestu
Dowd
Last 10: Letestu 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
Letestu
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Letestu
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
0
Letestu
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
56.1% (164)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
44.1% (1,635)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Letestu shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Letestu
Dowd
Home
54.0% (3,024)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Letestu
Dowd
P1
51.5%
51.7%
P2
55.0%
50.4%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
OT
51.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |