Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.4% vs Dowd 48.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 87.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 63.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 69.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Letestu
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Letestu
Dowd
Last 8: Letestu 2-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Letestu
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Letestu
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
0
Letestu
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (582)
47.2% (608)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
53.1% (96)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (189)
0.0% (3)
+45.0%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Letestu is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Letestu shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Letestu
Dowd
Home
48.5% (423)
48.7% (384)
Away
52.2% (473)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Letestu
Dowd
P1
54.0%
50.2%
P2
50.5%
47.5%
P3
46.9%
46.2%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |